Today I wanted to do a drought comparison from around the time I last blogged to now.
(Graphic courtesy: NOAA)The winter months in Kansas during an El Niño episode are usually milder. Enhanced areas of precipitation usually occur a little farther to our south, from California to Texas and Florida. But given the question marks in the El Niño forecast, there is then uncertainty in the winter forecast. Other weather factors that can't be reliably forecast until a week or two in advance can also play havoc with our forecast.
Yes, there's certainly some uncertainty!