Thursday, July 26, 2012

Latest drought monitor



The drought continues to worsen across Kansas.  All of the state is now classified as experiencing "severe drought" or worse.  For more information go to the U.S. Drought Monitor page.

Thursday, July 19, 2012

August outlook

It's been great to have the storms out there today, not only for the rainfall of course but also a temporary cool-down.  Unfortunately, there was a large variation in the totals: Kingman had 0.81" (with 60 mph winds too).  Meanwhile, McConnell AFB here in town had 59 mph winds earlier this afternoon but only 0.19" of rain.  Wichita's Mid Continent Airport had much less: only 0.02"!  That's the nature of the beast this time of year as you have to be in the right place at the right time.

Is this signs of a breakdown in the heat?  Sadly no.  As I mentioned in my last post (and still depicted on our 5-7 day guidance), a big area of high pressure aloft will keep Kansas hot and dry.  And if the August outlook is correct, it won't get better anytime soon.  Below you'll find the precipitation and temperature forecast for next month.  



Tuesday, July 17, 2012

No break at all

If you're hoping for a quick end to the heat and drought, I'm afraid we're out of luck.  A quick look at the 3-7 day forecasts at 500mb (roughly 18,000ft) shows a big area of high pressure over/near Kansas.  (Red line: GFS forecast; Green line: Human forecast; Black line: ENS forecast) High pressure in summertime typically means hot and dry.



In addition, the temperature outlook through the end of the month doesn't look any better...


The precipitation outlook is rather painful to view as well:

I wish I had some better news weather wise but given the data we're seeing on our forecast products, I just don't see a huge break coming up for Kansas anytime soon.

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Deep thoughts while keepin' busy in the heat

I hope you're having a wonderful Summer thus far, minus the heat of course.  Once again, my blog has been neglected recently.  I've been keeping somewhat busy with things, now that the Spring severe weather season has come and gone.  Here's a list of events in my life since then, in no particular order:

* My parents moved back into their repaired home after the late February tornado.  Hopefully the new garage will be built in the next few weeks.  While my folks got back home, other family members of mine weren't so fortunate.  My wife's aunt and uncle lost their home in the Waldo Canyon fire near Colorado Springs.  (This guy is tired of natural disasters affecting family members!)

* 12 days of 100 degree heat in Wichita.  So far.

* Our family garden is going nuts with cucumbers (with cherry tomatoes starting to ripen!).  Thankfully that hail back in May didn't beat up the garden too bad.  I'd take that rain again though.

It's less than 2 months until the Kansas State Fair.  Let's hope I update the blog a few times before then.